Final Alberta projection: Wildrose lead 6.0 over PC

As the campaign drew to a close, Danielle Smith's party took a bit of a hit over controversial remarks by her candidates. The PCs tried desperately to turn the focus onto that, but it was too little too late, and the Wildrose Party are expected to end the PC dynasty of 41 years tomorrow. The following is the final projection what Alberta is expected to look like come Monday evening.

Wildrose  39-43%  [median 40.1]  43-60 seats  [median 48]
PC        31-35%  [median 34.1]  21-38 seats  [median 33]
NDP       10-13%  [median 11.6]   2- 8 seats  [median  5]
Liberal    9-13%  [median 11.1]   0- 3 seats  [median  1]
Alberta    1- 3%  [median  2.0]   0- 0 seats  [median  0]
Other      0- 2%  [median  1.1]   0- 0 seats  [median  0]

The majority marker in the 87-seat house is 44 seats. As can be seen, Wildrose's last-week woes have trended their low-range to just below a majority, but even at 43 seats they should easily form government because there likely will be a couple right-wing PCs who will cross the floor to be part of a Wildrose government. Also, since the vast majority of their range is at or above a majority, this is not a difficult call for Politically Uncorrect. There could be one thorn in the side: Liberal and NDP voters migrating en masse at the ballot box to the PCs to keep Wildrose out. Polls have not shown this but it is still a possibility to watch out for.


Nevertheless, Politically Uncorrect's final call is a Wildrose MAJORITY of 9.