As it is past midnight, it should be safe to post the final BC projection update. From last day polls released by EKOS, Angus Reid, and Ipsos Reid, it can be inferred that Liberal momentum has stalled, and the NDP will win by a reasonable amount, if not the landslide originally imagined.
The final weighted rolling poll average gives the NDP a 7.0pp lead, enough to secure a comfortable majority:
New Democrat 43-47% [median 45.4] 46-56 seats [median 49]
Liberal 36-40% [median 38.4] 27-37 seats [median 34]
Green 6-10% [median 8.0] 0- 1 seats [median 0]
Conservative 4- 7% [median 5.4] 0- 0 seats [median 0]
Other 1- 4% [median 2.8] 0- 4 seats [median 2]
For the minor points: the Greens should only have a realistic shot in Oak Bay-Gordon Head with Andrew Weaver. The Conservatives really are in no position to win any seats anymore, although they should place second in a couple interior ridings. I still see 2 independents winning, most likely Arthur Hadland in Peace River North and Vicki Huntington in Delta South.
As for the final call...
Politically Uncorrect projects an NDP MAJORITY of 13.
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