Sweden is holding elections on Sunday the 19th to renew their 349-member Riksdag. There's the centre-right Alliance governing coalition (made of 4 parties), the centre-left "red-green" coalition (made of 3 parties), and then there's the Sweden Democrats, a far right fringe group.
A bit of history: the centre-left main party, the Social Democrats, were the most successful political group in the Western World. After World War I, they never lost more than 1 election in a row, and formed government about 80% of the time.
This election promises to be a record breaker. The Sweden Democrats are polling over the 4% threshold set for eligibility to win seats, for one, but most significantly, the Social Democrats look set to lose, for the first time, a second election in a row, with all polls showing the Alliance will form a parliamentary majority.
So, with that, a bit of a projection:
The Alliance - 50-54%
Red-Green - 40-44%
Sweden Democrats - 4-7%
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